Small Forward, 6’6.75, 203 lbs. Freshman, University of Kansas, 19 years old
2014-15 college stats:
11 minutes, 9.3 points, 44.4 FG%, 35.8 3P%, 71.8 FT%, 0.8 assists, 5.0 rebounds, 1.1 steals, 0.4 blocks, 21.1 PER.
One of the most raw prospects in the top 20 is Kelly Oubre. Oubre was one of the most highly recruited high school prospects last year, but never really lived up to the hype at Kansas. Although Oubre only averaged 21 minutes per game, we were able to catch glimpses of the player that he could be. For example, in his limited time, the lefty averaged five rebounds a game, good for about 8.5 a game per 36 minutes. This would have put him as one of the top rebounders for his position, better than both Stanley Johnson and Justise Winslow.
Being 19 and extremely raw also means there is a lot of potential for Oubre. He was able to shoot 35.8 percent from three, grab five rebounds a game, and nab at least a steal a game, all in 21 minutes. Per 36 minutes, Oubre would have averaged about two steals a game. He has the height and wingspan — just over 7’2 — as well as the athletic ability to be able to guard shooting guards and small forwards in the NBA. His wingspan not only helps him reach in for steals, but it’s also incredibly useful for closeouts and blocking shots.
As noted earlier, Oubre was a decent shooter from behind the 3-point line in his only season at Kansas. He has a pretty nice shooting stroke, so he should be able to knock down outside shots once he starts playing in the Association.
Sometimes being a raw player can be a good thing, but often it can lead to a wasted pick. The upside is there for Oubre, but he’ll need to work on some aspects of his game more. If a team is drafting him, it shouldn’t be expected of him to be playing a ton of minutes right away.
One of the biggest downsides to Oubre has to be his passing. In his one season at Kansas his AST% was 8.1 percent. For reference, Nick Young’s career AST% is 7.7 percent. It’s safe to say Kelly Oubre is going to have to learn how to spread the ball around in the league, unless his career goal is to turn model his game after Swaggy P.
Going along with the theme of his potential, the 19 year old is going to have to add a few pounds to 203 pound frame. Yes, he can be good on defense, but it’s going to be hard for him to go against some of the small forwards in the league weighing barely over 200 pounds. It wouldn’t be so much of a problem if he was only guarding shooting guards, but have the versatility to guard multiple positions really helps his draft stock.
Fit with the Atlanta Hawks:
When picking in the middle of the draft, teams are usually looking to find a player that can be a solid role player with some upside. Kelly Oubre, on the other hand, has a very high ceiling, but can also end up being worse than a lot of people drafted after him. However, he believes he can be better than players like James Harden, Kawhi Leonard, and Jimmy Butler. If he can live up to his own hype, he’d obviously be a steal for anyone drafting him since it’s unlikely he goes higher than the eighth pick. As for his fit with the Atlanta Hawks, he would also be another player who could be insurance in case DeMarre Carroll leaves in free agency. Oubre can be a really good 3-and-D player in the league, and he has the potential to be more than that. If the Hawks are willing to gamble on someone, as well as wait a little bit for him to develop, Kelly Oubre could definitely be their man, but they probably don’t want that with the current state of their team right now.